Will CX451 be delayed tomorrow?
Tokyo → Taipei Taiwan Taoyuan · Wed 4 Nov · Cathay Pacific
same answer since Tokyo time
Maybe 15+ minutes late.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:30≈15:36Tokyo time
Lands18:10≈18:09Taipei time
As of 18:19, CX451 should push back about 15:36 (scheduled 15:30) and land about 18:09 (scheduled 18:10).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈6 min
A usual afternoonCX451's typical departure, last 90 days7
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: showers but light wind tomorrow−1
Leaves≈6−1 to 15
Made up in the air−7
Lands≈−1
weather at Taipeidepartures at TokyoCathay Pacific todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 56Check again tomorrow 12:30Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
41on time
26late
21very late
1cancelled
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CX451 Tokyo to Taipei left within 15 minutes of schedule on 41 of its last 89 flights, usually 17 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 47. It was cancelled once.