Will CX504 be delayed tomorrow?
Hong Kong → Tokyo Narita · Mon 2 Nov · Cathay Pacific
same answer since Hong Kong time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 09:05.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves09:05≈09:08Hong Kong time
Lands14:35≈14:30Tokyo time
As of 20:49, CX504 should push back about 09:08 (scheduled 09:05) and land about 14:30 (scheduled 14:35).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min
A usual morningCX504's typical departure, last 90 days3
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as CX521 from Tokyo, not departed yet0
Leaves≈30 to 12
Made up in the air−8
Lands≈−5
weather at Hong Kongweather at Tokyodepartures at Hong KongCathay Pacific todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again tomorrow 06:05Hong Kong time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
46on time
25late
16very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
CX504 Hong Kong to Tokyo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 46 of its last 87 flights, usually 14 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 41. It wasn't cancelled once.