Will CI502 be delayed tomorrow?
Shanghai → Taipei Taiwan Taoyuan · Sun 1 Nov · China Airlines
updated Shanghai time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:05≈12:18
Lands14:05≈14:14
As of 23:19, CI502 should push back about 12:18 (scheduled 12:05) and land about 14:14 (scheduled 14:05).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual afternoonCI502's typical departure, last 90 days13
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Leaves≈154 to 24
Made up in the air−4
Lands≈9
weather at Shanghaiweather at Taipeidepartures at ShanghaiChina todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again tomorrow 09:05Shanghai time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
38on time
38late
13very late
0cancelled
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CI502 Shanghai to Taipei left within 15 minutes of schedule on 38 of its last 89 flights, usually 16 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 51. It wasn't cancelled once.