Will CI528 be delayed today?
Shenzhen → Taipei Taiwan Taoyuan · Sun 1 Nov · China Airlines
updated Shenzhen time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:45≈18:58
Lands20:30≈20:37
As of 15:59, CI528 should push back about 18:58 (scheduled 18:45) and land about 20:37 (scheduled 20:30).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual eveningCI528's typical departure, last 90 days16
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as CI527 from Taipei, due 17:250
On time on the board so farShenzhen departures board−1
Calmer than usual at ShenzhenFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Shenzhen is running smoothlyFew departures reported recently−1
Leaves≈150 to 34
Made up in the air−6
Lands≈7
weather at TaipeiChina todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 17:25Shenzhen time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
27on time
17late
19very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
CI528 Shenzhen to Taipei left within 15 minutes of schedule on 27 of its last 63 flights, usually 15 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 36. It wasn't cancelled once.