Will MU207 be delayed tomorrow?
Shanghai → Toronto Pearson · Sun 1 Nov · China Eastern
updated Shanghai time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:30≈12:40
Lands13:35≈13:31
As of 23:19, MU207 should push back about 12:40 (scheduled 12:30) and land about 13:31 (scheduled 13:35).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual afternoonMU207's typical departure, last 90 days12
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as MU780 from Auckland, which left 8 min late0
Calmer than usual at ShanghaiFrom our forecast: showers but light wind tomorrow−1
Calmer than usual at TorontoFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow. Arrivals there in the last hour: 11% 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈101 to 22
Made up in the air−14
Lands≈−4
departures at ShanghaiChina Eastern todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again tomorrow 09:30Shanghai time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
19on time
27late
5very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
MU207 Shanghai to Toronto left within 15 minutes of schedule on 19 of its last 51 flights, usually 19 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 32. It wasn't cancelled once.