willmyflightbedelayed?

Will MU2283 be delayed today?

Beijing → Changchun Longjia · Sat 31 Oct · China Eastern

updated Beijing time

Unlikely. It should leave close to 20:30.

It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.

No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›
Leaves20:30≈20:31

As of 22:19, MU2283 should push back about 20:31 (scheduled 20:30).

Thin board data at this airport.

Why ≈1 min

A usual eveningTypical for this time of day at Beijing; MU2283 is new to us4
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as MU5134 from Hangzhou, not departed yet0
On time on the board so farBeijing departures board−2
Beijing is running smoothlyFew departures reported recently−1
Leaves≈1−3 to 11

weather at Beijingweather at ChangchunChina Eastern todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes

Cancelled? < 1 in 200

usually 1 in 122

Other Beijing → Changchun flights today