willmyflightbedelayed?

Will MU2878 be delayed?

Shenzhen → Nanjing Lukou · Sat 31 Oct · China Eastern

updated Shenzhen time

No. It should leave on time.

It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.

No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›
Leaves23:25≈23:19

As of 00:19, MU2878 should push back about 23:19 (scheduled 23:25).

this day ≈23:1923:2523:5500:2500:55scheduled

Why ≈6 min early

A usual nightMU2878's typical departure, last 90 days−2
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as MU2877 from Nanjing, which has landed−1
On time on the board so farShenzhen departures board−1
China Eastern is running well that day14% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: on time; yesterday this flight left 16 min early−2
Leaves≈−6−11 to −2

weather at Shenzhenweather at Nanjingdepartures at Shenzhenstorms, quakes, volcanoes

Last 90 days

36on time
3late
9very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

MU2878 Shenzhen to Nanjing left within 15 minutes of schedule on 36 of its last 49 flights, usually 2 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 12. It was cancelled once.

Other Shenzhen → Nanjing flights yesterday