Will MU4956 be delayed tomorrow?
Madrid → Munich · Sun 1 Nov · China Eastern · operated by Air Europa as UX1517
updated Madrid time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 15:05.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:05≈15:10
Lands≈17:40
As of 18:19, MU4956 should push back about 15:10 (scheduled 15:05) and land about 17:40 (scheduled 17:40).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min
A usual afternoonUX1517's typical departure, last 90 days7
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow−1
Calmer than usual at MunichFrom our forecast: showers but light wind tomorrow. Arrivals there in the last hour: 30% 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈50 to 18
Made up in the air−5
Lands≈0
departures at MadridAir Europa todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again tomorrow 12:05Madrid time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
58on time
18late
7very late
0cancelled
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MU4956 Madrid to Munich left within 15 minutes of schedule on 58 of its last 83 flights, usually 9 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 25. It wasn't cancelled once.