Will MU5011 be delayed tomorrow?
Shanghai → Seoul Incheon · Sun 1 Nov · China Eastern
updated Shanghai time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 11:55.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves11:55≈11:57
Lands≈14:55
As of 23:19, MU5011 should push back about 11:57 (scheduled 11:55) and land about 14:55 (scheduled 14:55).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min
A usual morningMU5011's typical departure, last 90 days2
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Leaves≈2−1 to 12
Made up in the air−2
Lands≈0
weather at Shanghaiweather at Seouldepartures at ShanghaiChina Eastern todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again tomorrow 08:55Shanghai time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
57on time
24late
7very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
MU5011 Shanghai to Seoul left within 15 minutes of schedule on 57 of its last 88 flights, usually 11 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 31. It wasn't cancelled once.