Will MU509 be delayed tomorrow?
Shanghai → Hong Kong · Sun 1 Nov · China Eastern
updated Shanghai time
No. It should leave on time.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves13:35≈13:43
Lands16:25≈16:20
As of 23:19, MU509 should push back about 13:43 (scheduled 13:35) and land about 16:20 (scheduled 16:25).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈8 min
A usual afternoonMU509's typical departure, last 90 days6
Your planeNot assigned yet0
More rain than usualFrom our forecast: 82% chance of rain at Shanghai tomorrow+2
Leaves≈8−3 to 8
Made up in the air−13
Lands≈−5
weather at Hong Kongdepartures at ShanghaiChina Eastern todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again tomorrow 10:35Shanghai time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
58on time
21late
5very late
0cancelled
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MU509 Shanghai to Hong Kong left within 15 minutes of schedule on 58 of its last 84 flights, usually 8 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 26. It wasn't cancelled once.