Will MU515 be delayed tomorrow?
Shanghai → Osaka Kansai · Sun 1 Nov · China Eastern
updated Shanghai time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 10:05.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves10:05≈10:12
Lands13:25≈13:24
As of 21:19, MU515 should push back about 10:12 (scheduled 10:05) and land about 13:24 (scheduled 13:25).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈7 min
A usual morningMU515's typical departure, last 90 days7
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Leaves≈70 to 14
Made up in the air−8
Lands≈−1
weather at Shanghaiweather at Osakadepartures at ShanghaiChina Eastern todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again tomorrow 07:05Shanghai time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
39on time
38late
11very late
0cancelled
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T
W
T
F
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MU515 Shanghai to Osaka left within 15 minutes of schedule on 39 of its last 88 flights, usually 16 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 49. It wasn't cancelled once.