Will MU517 be delayed tomorrow?
Shanghai → Fukuoka · Sun 1 Nov · China Eastern
updated Shanghai time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 10:00.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves10:00≈10:05
Lands≈13:10
As of 22:19, MU517 should push back about 10:05 (scheduled 10:00) and land about 13:10 (scheduled 13:10).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min
A usual morningMU517's typical departure, last 90 days7
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at ShanghaiFrom our forecast: showers but light wind tomorrow−1
Shanghai is running smoothly0% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈51 to 20
Made up in the air−5
Lands≈0
weather at FukuokaChina Eastern todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again tomorrow 07:00Shanghai time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
55on time
28late
6very late
0cancelled
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MU517 Shanghai to Fukuoka left within 15 minutes of schedule on 55 of its last 89 flights, usually 12 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 34. It wasn't cancelled once.