willmyflightbedelayed?

Will MU5196 be delayed today?

Beijing → Shanghai Pudong · Mon 2 Nov · China Eastern

same answer since Beijing time

Unlikely. It should leave close to 12:55.

No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›
Leaves12:55≈12:56

As of 10:19, MU5196 should push back about 12:56 (scheduled 12:55).

Boarding still follows the original schedule.

Thin board data at this airport.

Why ≈1 min

A usual afternoonTypical for this time of day at Beijing; MU5196 is new to us4
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as MU6302 from Guangzhou, due 10:550
On time on the board so farBeijing departures board−1
Calmer than usual at BeijingFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Beijing is running smoothlyFew departures reported recently−1
Leaves≈1−2 to 13

weather at ShanghaiChina Eastern todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes

Cancelled? 1 in 179

usually 1 in 123

Check again 10:55Beijing time

Other Beijing → Shanghai flights today