Will MU523 be delayed tomorrow?
Shanghai → Tokyo Narita · Sun 1 Nov · China Eastern
updated Shanghai time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves09:10≈09:21
Lands13:10≈13:12
As of 22:19, MU523 should push back about 09:21 (scheduled 09:10) and land about 13:12 (scheduled 13:10).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual morningMU523's typical departure, last 90 days13
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as MU786 from Venice, not departed yet0
Calmer than usual at ShanghaiFrom our forecast: showers but light wind tomorrow−1
Shanghai is running smoothly0% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈103 to 29
Made up in the air−9
Lands≈2
weather at TokyoChina Eastern todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again tomorrow 06:10Shanghai time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
41on time
33late
15very late
0cancelled
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T
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MU523 Shanghai to Tokyo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 41 of its last 89 flights, usually 15 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 48. It wasn't cancelled once.