Will MU524 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Shanghai Pudong · Sun 1 Nov · China Eastern
updated Tokyo time
Probably, by about 20 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves13:50≈14:08
Lands16:15≈16:20
As of 10:19, MU524 should push back about 14:08 (scheduled 13:50) and land about 16:20 (scheduled 16:15).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈20 min
A usual afternoonMU524's typical departure, last 90 days21
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as MU523 from Shanghai, due 12:500
On time on the board so farTokyo departures board−1
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly21% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈206 to 29
Made up in the air−13
Lands≈5
weather at ShanghaiChina Eastern todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 175Check again 12:50Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
21on time
46late
22very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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MU524 Tokyo to Shanghai left within 15 minutes of schedule on 21 of its last 90 flights, usually 28 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 68. It was cancelled once.