Will MU554 be delayed today?
Paris → Shanghai Pudong · Sun 1 Nov · China Eastern
updated Paris time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:25≈12:36
Lands07:00≈06:51Mon
As of 10:19, MU554 should push back about 12:36 (scheduled 12:25) and land about 06:51 (scheduled 07:00).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual afternoonMU554's typical departure, last 90 days15
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as MU553 from Shanghai, due 06:00−1
On time on the board so farParis departures board−1
Calmer than usual at ParisFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Paris is running smoothly18% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈105 to 20
Made up in the air−20
Lands≈−9
weather at ShanghaiChina Eastern todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 11:40Paris time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
44on time
39late
3very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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MU554 Paris to Shanghai left within 15 minutes of schedule on 44 of its last 86 flights, usually 14 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 42. It wasn't cancelled once.