Will MU561 be delayed today?
Shanghai → Sydney Kingsford Smith · Sat 31 Oct · China Eastern
updated Shanghai time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 20:45.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves20:45≈20:46
Lands10:05≈09:51Sun
As of 22:39, MU561 should push back about 20:46 (scheduled 20:45) and land about 09:51 (scheduled 10:05).
Why ≈1 min
A usual eveningMU561's typical departure, last 90 days5
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farShanghai departures board−2
Calmer than usual at ShanghaiFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Shanghai is running smoothly0% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈1−2 to 8
Made up in the air−15
Lands≈−14
weather at SydneyChina Eastern todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
65on time
17late
7very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
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MU561 Shanghai to Sydney left within 15 minutes of schedule on 65 of its last 89 flights, usually 7 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 24. It wasn't cancelled once.