willmyflightbedelayed?

Will CZ3974 be delayed?

Shenzhen → Zhengzhou Xinzheng · Sat 31 Oct · China Southern

updated Shenzhen time

No. It should leave on time.

It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.

No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›
Leaves22:30≈22:27

As of 00:19, CZ3974 should push back about 22:27 (scheduled 22:30).

this day ≈22:2722:3023:0023:3000:00scheduled

Why ≈3 min early

A usual nightCZ3974's typical departure, last 90 days3
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as CZ3973 from Zhengzhou, which has landed−2
On time on the board so farShenzhen departures board−3
Shenzhen is running smoothly6% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈−3−7 to 2

weather at Shenzhenweather at ZhengzhouChina Southern that daystorms, quakes, volcanoes

Last 90 days

35on time
13late
7very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

CZ3974 Shenzhen to Zhengzhou left within 15 minutes of schedule on 35 of its last 56 flights, usually 13 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 20. It was cancelled once.

Other Shenzhen → Zhengzhou flights yesterday