Will LY92 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Tel Aviv Ben Gurion · Tue 3 Nov · El Al
same answer since Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 15:45.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:45≈15:48Tokyo time
Lands21:50≈21:37Tel Aviv time
As of 12:49, LY92 should push back about 15:48 (scheduled 15:45) and land about 21:37 (scheduled 21:50).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min
A usual afternoonLY92's typical departure, last 90 days7
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as LY91 from Tel Aviv, due 13:30−2
On time on the board so farTokyo departures board−1
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Leaves≈3−2 to 8
Made up in the air−16
Lands≈−13
weather at Tel Avivdepartures at TokyoEL AL ISRAEL AIRLINES todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 141Check again 13:30Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
33on time
13late
4very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
LY92 Tokyo to Tel Aviv left within 15 minutes of schedule on 33 of its last 50 flights, usually 8 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 17. It wasn't cancelled once.