Will BR197 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Taipei Taiwan Taoyuan · Sun 1 Nov · EVA Air
updated Tokyo time
Very likely, by about 45 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves14:00≈14:43
Lands16:40≈17:12
As of 13:39, BR197 should push back about 14:43 (scheduled 14:00) and land about 17:12 (scheduled 16:40).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Thin board data at this airport.
Why ≈45 min
A usual afternoonBR197's typical departure, last 90 days21
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as BR198 from Taipei, which has landed0
The board already shows 30 min lateTokyo departures board+24
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly20% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈4535 to 47
Made up in the air−11
Lands≈30
weather at TaipeiEVA Air todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 60Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
20on time
51late
18very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
BR197 Tokyo to Taipei left within 15 minutes of schedule on 20 of its last 90 flights, usually 27 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 69. It was cancelled once.