Will FJ5854 be delayed today?
San Francisco → Palm Springs · Sat 31 Oct · Fiji Airways · operated by Alaska Airlines as AS2400
updated San Francisco time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 16:52.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:52≈17:05
Lands18:32≈18:40
As of 15:59, FJ5854 should push back about 17:05 (scheduled 16:52) and land about 18:40 (scheduled 18:32).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual afternoonAS2400's typical departure, last 90 days9
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as AS2411 from Spokane, 6 min behind, due 16:18+2
The board already shows 6 min lateSan Francisco departures board+4
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
San Francisco is running smoothly8% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈157 to 14
Made up in the air−5
Lands≈8
weather at Palm SpringsAlaska todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 16:18San Francisco time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
19on time
5late
4very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
FJ5854 San Francisco to Palm Springs left within 15 minutes of schedule on 19 of its last 28 flights, usually 6 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 9. It wasn't cancelled once.