Will AY4785 be delayed today?
Madrid → Nantes Atlantique · Sun 1 Nov · Finnair · operated by Iberia as IB1221
updated Madrid time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 15:50.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:50≈15:58
As of 01:19, AY4785 should push back about 15:58 (scheduled 15:50).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈8 min
A usual afternoonIB1221's typical departure, last 90 days8
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Leaves≈82 to 17
weather at Madridweather at Nantesdepartures at MadridIberia todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 12:50Madrid time
Last 90 days
32on time
17late
5very late
0cancelled
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T
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T
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AY4785 Madrid to Nantes left within 15 minutes of schedule on 32 of its last 54 flights, usually 12 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 22. It wasn't cancelled once.