Will AY4803 be delayed today?
Madrid → San Sebastián · Sun 1 Nov · Finnair · operated by Iberia as IB445
updated Madrid time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 11:45.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves11:45≈11:49
As of 01:19, AY4803 should push back about 11:49 (scheduled 11:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈4 min
A usual morningIB445's typical departure, last 90 days5
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Leaves≈41 to 12
weather at San Sebastiándepartures at MadridIberia todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 08:45Madrid time
Last 90 days
45on time
4late
0very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AY4803 Madrid to San Sebastián left within 15 minutes of schedule on 45 of its last 49 flights, usually 3 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 4. It wasn't cancelled once.