Will AY5639 be delayed today?
Madrid → San Juan Luis Munoz Marin · Sun 1 Nov · Finnair · operated by Iberia as IB381
updated Madrid time
Probably, by about 20 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:35≈12:57
Lands16:20≈16:28
As of 01:19, AY5639 should push back about 12:57 (scheduled 12:35) and land about 16:28 (scheduled 16:20).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈20 min
A usual afternoonIB381's typical departure, last 90 days23
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom our forecast: dry today−2
Thunderstorms possible at San JuanFrom our forecast: thunder in the TAF, 78% chance of rain at San Juan today+1
Leaves≈2012 to 45
Made up in the air−14
Lands≈8
departures at MadridIberia todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 09:35Madrid time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
23on time
54late
13very late
0cancelled
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AY5639 Madrid to San Juan left within 15 minutes of schedule on 23 of its last 90 flights, usually 21 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 67. It wasn't cancelled once.