Will AY5641 be delayed today?
Madrid → Miami · Sun 1 Nov · Finnair · operated by Iberia as IB337
updated Madrid time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:30≈16:45
Lands20:05≈20:06
As of 06:49, AY5641 should push back about 16:45 (scheduled 16:30) and land about 20:06 (scheduled 20:05).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual afternoonIB337's typical departure, last 90 days15
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Thunderstorms possible at MiamiFrom our forecast: thunder in the TAF, 95% chance of rain at Miami today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 57% 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈156 to 32
Made up in the air−14
Lands≈1
departures at MadridIberia todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 13:30Madrid time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
27on time
48late
12very late
0cancelled
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AY5641 Madrid to Miami left within 15 minutes of schedule on 27 of its last 87 flights, usually 20 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 60. It wasn't cancelled once.