Will AY5653 be delayed today?
Madrid → New York JFK · Sun 1 Nov · Finnair · operated by Iberia as IB211
updated Madrid time
Probably, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:20≈12:35
Lands15:30≈15:32
As of 10:39, AY5653 should push back about 12:35 (scheduled 12:20) and land about 15:32 (scheduled 15:30).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual afternoonIB211's typical departure, last 90 days17
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Calmer than usual at New YorkFrom the TAF: dry today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 0% 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈155 to 33
Made up in the air−13
Lands≈2
departures at MadridIberia todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 11:35Madrid time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
37on time
37late
15very late
0cancelled
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AY5653 Madrid to New York left within 15 minutes of schedule on 37 of its last 89 flights, usually 20 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 52. It wasn't cancelled once.