Will FA216 be delayed today?
Johannesburg → Cape Town · Wed 4 Nov · FlySafair
It should have left by now.
We said: Unlikely. It should leave about 10 minutes late, around 15:20. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:10≈15:20
Lands17:30≈17:29
As of 16:59, FA216 was due to push back about 15:20 (scheduled 15:10). The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
same answer since Johannesburg time
Why ≈10 min
A usual afternoonFA216's typical departure, last 90 days11
Your plane is on timeZS-ZWM is coming from Durban, due 14:35+2
On time on the board so farJohannesburg departures board−2
Thunderstorms possibleFrom the TAF: thunder in the TAF at Johannesburg today+5
Calmer than usual at Cape TownFrom the TAF: dry today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 0% 15+ min late−1
Johannesburg is running smoothly11% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late−2
Safair is running well today0% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 9 min early−3
Leaves≈10−4 to 23
Made up in the air−11
Lands≈−1
storms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 143
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
25on time
15late
2very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
FA216 Johannesburg to Cape Town left within 15 minutes of schedule on 25 of its last 42 flights, usually 5 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 17. It wasn't cancelled once.