Will IB1203 be delayed today?
Madrid → Bordeaux–Mérignac · Sat 31 Oct · Iberia · as AA8623, AY4773, LA1689
updated Madrid time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 16:05.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:05≈16:14
As of 14:59, IB1203 should push back about 16:14 (scheduled 16:05).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈9 min
A usual afternoonIB1203's typical departure, last 90 days9
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farMadrid departures board−2
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Madrid is backing up84% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Iberia is running late today44% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 24 min late+2
Leaves≈94 to 18
weather at Bordeauxstorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 15:20Madrid time
Last 90 days
56on time
25late
5very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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IB1203 Madrid to Bordeaux left within 15 minutes of schedule on 56 of its last 86 flights, usually 12 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 30. It wasn't cancelled once.