Will IB1241 be delayed today?
Madrid → Bologna Guglielmo Marconi · Sat 31 Oct · Iberia · as AA8620, LA1709
updated Madrid time
Very likely, by about 35 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:50≈16:24
As of 16:39, IB1241 should push back about 16:24 (scheduled 15:50).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈35 min
A usual afternoonIB1241's typical departure, last 90 days10
Your planeNot assigned yet0
The board already shows 27 min lateMadrid departures board+24
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Madrid is backing up45% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈3522 to 49
weather at BolognaIberia todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Last 90 days
40on time
28late
7very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
IB1241 Madrid to Bologna left within 15 minutes of schedule on 40 of its last 75 flights, usually 13 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 35. It wasn't cancelled once.