Will IB1535 be delayed today?
Madrid → La Palma · Sat 31 Oct · Iberia · as BA7223, VY5154
updated Madrid time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 16:45.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:45≈16:53
As of 16:39, IB1535 should push back about 16:53 (scheduled 16:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈8 min
A usual afternoonIB1535's typical departure, last 90 days9
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Leaves≈84 to 16
weather at La Palmadepartures at MadridIberia todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Last 90 days
22on time
8late
1very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
IB1535 Madrid to La Palma left within 15 minutes of schedule on 22 of its last 31 flights, usually 8 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 9. It wasn't cancelled once.