Will IB169 be delayed today?
Madrid → Montevideo Carrasco General Cesáreo L. Berisso · Sun 1 Nov · Iberia · as BA4211, QR5058
updated Madrid time
Probably, by about 30 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves11:45≈12:13
Lands20:30≈20:38
As of 02:19, IB169 should push back about 12:13 (scheduled 11:45) and land about 20:38 (scheduled 20:30).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈30 min
A usual morningIB169's typical departure, last 90 days18
Your planeNot assigned yet0
The board already shows 10 min lateMadrid departures board+10
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Thunderstorms possible at MontevideoFrom our forecast: thunder in the TAF, 82% chance of rain at Montevideo today+1
Leaves≈3012 to 37
Made up in the air−20
Lands≈8
departures at MadridIberia todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 08:45Madrid time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
42on time
36late
10very late
0cancelled
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IB169 Madrid to Montevideo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 42 of its last 88 flights, usually 15 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 46. It wasn't cancelled once.