Will IB5186 be delayed today?
Barcelona → Málaga-Costa del Sol · Sun 1 Nov · Iberia · operated by Qatar Airways as QR3509
updated Barcelona time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:50≈13:02
Lands≈14:25
As of 08:39, IB5186 should push back about 13:02 (scheduled 12:50) and land about 14:25 (scheduled 14:25).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual afternoonQR3509's typical departure, last 90 days15
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farBarcelona departures board−1
Calmer than usual at BarcelonaFrom the TAF: dry today−2
Leaves≈104 to 31
Made up in the air−12
Lands≈0
weather at Málagadepartures at BarcelonaQatar Airways todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 182Check again 09:50Barcelona time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
28on time
18late
21very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
IB5186 Barcelona to Málaga left within 15 minutes of schedule on 28 of its last 67 flights, usually 22 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 39. It wasn't cancelled once.