Will IB5218 be delayed today?
Barcelona → Gran Canaria · Mon 2 Nov · Iberia · operated by Vueling as VY3004
same answer since Barcelona time
Very likely, by about 35 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:00≈12:34Barcelona time
Lands14:35≈14:57Gran Canaria time
As of 14:39, IB5218 should push back about 12:34 (scheduled 12:00) and land about 14:57 (scheduled 14:35).
Why ≈35 min
A usual afternoonVY3004's typical departure, last 90 days−2
Your planeNot assigned yet0
The board already shows 47 min lateBarcelona departures board+37
Calmer than usual at BarcelonaFrom the TAF: showers but light wind today−1
Leaves≈3534 to 56
Made up in the air−12
Lands≈20
weather at Gran Canariadepartures at BarcelonaVueling todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 31Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
74on time
4late
0very late
2cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
IB5218 Barcelona to Gran Canaria left within 15 minutes of schedule on 74 of its last 80 flights, usually 2 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 4. It was cancelled twice.