Will FI451 be delayed today?
London → Reykjavík Keflavik · Sun 1 Nov · Icelandair
updated London time
Maybe, by about 8 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:15≈12:23
Lands15:30≈15:31
As of 08:19, FI451 should push back about 12:23 (scheduled 12:15) and land about 15:31 (scheduled 15:30).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈8 min
A usual afternoonFI451's typical departure, last 90 days12
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farLondon departures board−1
Calmer than usual at LondonFrom the TAF: showers but light wind today−1
Icelandair is running well today0% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 11 min early; yesterday this flight left 18 min late−2
Leaves≈8−1 to 22
Made up in the air−7
Lands≈1
weather at Reykjavíkdepartures at Londonstorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 49
usually 1 in 30Check again 09:15London time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
58on time
20late
10very late
2cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
FI451 London to Reykjavík left within 15 minutes of schedule on 58 of its last 90 flights, usually 9 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 30. It was cancelled twice.