Will AZ2404 be delayed today?
Madrid → Málaga-Costa del Sol · Sat 31 Oct · ITA Airways · as ME4047
updated Madrid time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 15:00.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:00≈15:10
Lands16:15≈16:17
As of 14:59, AZ2404 should push back about 15:10 (scheduled 15:00) and land about 16:17 (scheduled 16:15).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual afternoonAZ2404's typical departure, last 90 days12
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farMadrid departures board−3
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Madrid is backing up84% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+2
Leaves≈103 to 15
Made up in the air−8
Lands≈2
weather at MálagaITA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
39on time
38late
2very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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AZ2404 Madrid to Málaga left within 15 minutes of schedule on 39 of its last 79 flights, usually 15 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 40. It wasn't cancelled once.