Will AZ4490 be delayed today?
San Francisco → Las Vegas Harry Reid · Sat 31 Oct · ITA Airways · operated by United as UA1995
updated San Francisco time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 19:00.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves19:00≈18:58
Lands20:43≈20:39
As of 13:39, AZ4490 should push back about 18:58 (scheduled 19:00) and land about 20:39 (scheduled 20:43).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min early
A usual eveningUA1995's typical departure, last 90 days−1
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
More rain than usual at Las VegasFrom the TAF: 81% chance of rain at Las Vegas today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 0% 15+ min late+1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈−2−6 to 3
Made up in the air−2
Lands≈−4
departures at San FranciscoUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 16:00San Francisco time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
69on time
11late
7very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AZ4490 San Francisco to Las Vegas left within 15 minutes of schedule on 69 of its last 87 flights, usually 3 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 18. It wasn't cancelled once.