Will AZ4497 be delayed today?
San Francisco → Maui Kahului · Sat 31 Oct · ITA Airways · operated by United as UA537
updated San Francisco time
No. It should leave on time.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:45≈16:42
Lands19:19≈19:07
As of 16:59, AZ4497 should push back about 16:42 (scheduled 16:45) and land about 19:07 (scheduled 19:19).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min early
A usual afternoonUA537's typical departure, last 90 days2
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farSan Francisco departures board−2
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
San Francisco is running smoothly1% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
FAA plan for todayThe FAA's plan for today lists a possible ground stop or delay program at San Francisco−1
Leaves≈−3−7 to 2
Made up in the air−9
Lands≈−12
weather at MauiUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
10on time
0late
2very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AZ4497 San Francisco to Maui left within 15 minutes of schedule on 10 of its last 12 flights, usually 2 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 2. It wasn't cancelled once.