Will AZ4511 be delayed today?
San Francisco → Kailua-Kona Ellison Onizuka Kona at Keāhole · Sat 31 Oct · ITA Airways · operated by United as UA1723
updated San Francisco time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 16:55.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:55≈16:56
Lands19:28≈19:17
As of 15:19, AZ4511 should push back about 16:56 (scheduled 16:55) and land about 19:17 (scheduled 19:28).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈1 min
A usual afternoonUA1723's typical departure, last 90 days5
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farSan Francisco departures board−2
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
San Francisco is running smoothly70% of the next two hours' departures already show 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈1−3 to 5
Made up in the air−12
Lands≈−11
weather at Kailua-KonaUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 16:10San Francisco time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
63on time
17late
7very late
1cancelled
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AZ4511 San Francisco to Kailua-Kona left within 15 minutes of schedule on 63 of its last 88 flights, usually 2 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 24. It was cancelled once.