Will JL215 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Nanki Shirahama · Sun 1 Nov · Japan Airlines
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 11:45.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves11:45≈11:48
As of 01:19, JL215 should push back about 11:48 (scheduled 11:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min
A usual morningJL215's typical departure, last 90 days4
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Leaves≈30 to 13
weather at Shirahamadepartures at TokyoJapan Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 08:45Tokyo time
Last 90 days
74on time
14late
2very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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JL215 Tokyo to Shirahama left within 15 minutes of schedule on 74 of its last 90 flights, usually 6 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 16. It wasn't cancelled once.