Will JL23 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Dalian Changhai Dachangshandao · Sun 1 Nov · Japan Airlines
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 09:30.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves09:30≈09:32
As of 07:59, JL23 should push back about 09:32 (scheduled 09:30).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min
A usual morningJL23's typical departure, last 90 days6
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farTokyo departures board−2
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly22% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈21 to 8
weather at DalianJapan Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 08:45Tokyo time
Last 90 days
76on time
11late
3very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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JL23 Tokyo to Dalian left within 15 minutes of schedule on 76 of its last 90 flights, usually 7 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 14. It wasn't cancelled once.