Will JL239 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Okayama Momotaro · Sun 1 Nov · Japan Airlines
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 17:00.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves17:00≈17:06
Lands18:15≈18:19
As of 08:19, JL239 should push back about 17:06 (scheduled 17:00) and land about 18:19 (scheduled 18:15).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈6 min
A usual eveningJL239's typical departure, last 90 days8
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as JL492 from Kochi, due 11:000
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly8% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈62 to 21
Made up in the air−2
Lands≈4
weather at OkayamaJapan Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 161
usually 1 in 54Check again 11:00Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
46on time
31late
11very late
2cancelled
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JL239 Tokyo to Okayama left within 15 minutes of schedule on 46 of its last 90 flights, usually 13 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 42. It was cancelled twice.