Will JL285 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Izumo Enmusubi · Sun 1 Nov · Japan Airlines
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 16:25.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:25≈16:28
Lands17:50≈17:51
As of 01:19, JL285 should push back about 16:28 (scheduled 16:25) and land about 17:51 (scheduled 17:50).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min
A usual afternoonJL285's typical departure, last 90 days4
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as JL454 from Tokushima, due 10:050
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Leaves≈3−1 to 8
Made up in the air−2
Lands≈1
weather at Izumodepartures at TokyoJapan Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 10:05Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
83on time
4late
2very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
JL285 Tokyo to Izumo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 83 of its last 90 flights, usually 3 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 6. It was cancelled once.