Will JL485 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Takamatsu · Sun 1 Nov · Japan Airlines
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 18:40.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:40≈18:43
Lands20:00≈20:01
As of 01:19, JL485 should push back about 18:43 (scheduled 18:40) and land about 20:01 (scheduled 20:00).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min
A usual eveningJL485's typical departure, last 90 days5
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as JL202 from Nagoya, due 08:250
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Calmer than usual at TakamatsuFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Leaves≈3−1 to 15
Made up in the air−2
Lands≈1
departures at TokyoJapan Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 96
usually 1 in 56Check again 08:25Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
58on time
23late
7very late
2cancelled
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JL485 Tokyo to Takamatsu left within 15 minutes of schedule on 58 of its last 90 flights, usually 9 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 30. It was cancelled twice.