Will JL495 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Kochi Ryoma · Sun 1 Nov · Japan Airlines
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 13:35.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves13:35≈13:37
Lands14:55≈14:53
As of 07:59, JL495 should push back about 13:37 (scheduled 13:35) and land about 14:53 (scheduled 14:55).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min
A usual afternoonTypical for this time of day at Tokyo; JL495 is new to us4
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as JL494 from Kochi, due 12:350
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly22% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈20 to 14
Made up in the air−4
Lands≈−2
weather at KochiJapan Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 115Check again 12:35Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
10on time
2late
0very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
JL495 Tokyo to Kochi left within 15 minutes of schedule on 10 of its last 12 flights, usually 8 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 2. It wasn't cancelled once.