Will JL51 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Sydney Kingsford Smith · Sun 1 Nov · Japan Airlines
updated Tokyo time
Maybe, by about 7 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves19:15≈19:22
As of 11:49, JL51 should push back about 19:22 (scheduled 19:15).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈7 min
A usual eveningJL51's typical departure, last 90 days7
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Thunderstorms possible at SydneyFrom our forecast: thunder in the TAF, gusts to about 40 kt at Sydney today+2
Tokyo is running smoothly26% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈70 to 23
Japan Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 78
Check again 16:15Tokyo time
Last 90 days
52on time
33late
4very late
0cancelled
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T
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T
F
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JL51 Tokyo to Sydney left within 15 minutes of schedule on 52 of its last 89 flights, usually 13 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 37. It wasn't cancelled once.