willmyflightbedelayed?

Will JL57 be delayed today?

San Francisco → Tokyo Narita · Tue 27 Oct · Japan Airlines · as AA8410, AS7315, MH4405

updated

Very likely, by about 55 minutes.

No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%
Leaves12:45≈13:42
Lands15:30≈16:14

As of 08:39, JL57 should push back about 13:42 (scheduled 12:45) and land about 16:14 (scheduled 15:30).

Boarding still follows the original schedule.

today ≈13:4212:4513:1513:4514:15scheduled

Why ≈55 min

A usual afternoonJL57's typical departure, last 90 days7
Your plane is likely running lateIt usually comes in as JL58 from Tokyo, 50 min behind, due 11:45+8
The board already shows 45 min lateSan Francisco departures board+42
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
FAA ground delay program at San FranciscoGround delay program at San Francisco, about 39 min+1
Leaves≈5553 to 74
Made up in the air−13
Lands≈45

weather at Tokyodepartures at San FranciscoJapan Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes

Cancelled? < 1 in 200

usually 1 in 35

Check again 11:45

Meeting someone?

Link preview: JL57 lands about 16:14

Last 90 days

62on time
14late
12very late
2cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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