Will JL58 be delayed tomorrow?
Tokyo → San Francisco · Sun 1 Nov · Japan Airlines
updated Tokyo time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves17:40≈17:51
Lands≈10:15
As of 23:19, JL58 should push back about 17:51 (scheduled 17:40) and land about 10:15 (scheduled 10:15).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual eveningJL58's typical departure, last 90 days13
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow−1
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom our forecast: showers but light wind tomorrow. Arrivals there in the last hour: 0% 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈103 to 28
Made up in the air−11
Lands≈0
departures at TokyoJapan Airlines todayFAA ground stops and delay programsstorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 57Check again tomorrow 14:40Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
39on time
35late
15very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
JL58 Tokyo to San Francisco left within 15 minutes of schedule on 39 of its last 90 flights, usually 19 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 50. It was cancelled once.