Will JL651 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Kagoshima · Sun 1 Nov · Japan Airlines
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 16:35.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:35≈16:39
Lands18:20≈18:22
As of 01:19, JL651 should push back about 16:39 (scheduled 16:35) and land about 18:22 (scheduled 18:20).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈4 min
A usual afternoonJL651's typical departure, last 90 days5
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Leaves≈4−1 to 15
Made up in the air−2
Lands≈2
weather at Kagoshimadepartures at TokyoJapan Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 125
usually 1 in 58Check again 13:35Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
73on time
13late
3very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
JL651 Tokyo to Kagoshima left within 15 minutes of schedule on 73 of its last 90 flights, usually 4 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 16. It was cancelled once.