Will JL653 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Kagoshima · Sun 1 Nov · Japan Airlines
updated Tokyo time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:25≈18:35
Lands20:10≈20:18
As of 01:19, JL653 should push back about 18:35 (scheduled 18:25) and land about 20:18 (scheduled 20:10).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual eveningJL653's typical departure, last 90 days11
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Leaves≈101 to 20
Made up in the air−2
Lands≈8
weather at Kagoshimadepartures at TokyoJapan Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 125
usually 1 in 56Check again 15:25Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
49on time
36late
4very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
JL653 Tokyo to Kagoshima left within 15 minutes of schedule on 49 of its last 90 flights, usually 12 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 40. It was cancelled once.