Will JL987 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Naha · Sun 1 Nov · Japan Airlines
updated Tokyo time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves11:30≈11:46
Lands14:10≈14:20
As of 07:59, JL987 should push back about 11:46 (scheduled 11:30) and land about 14:20 (scheduled 14:10).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual morningJL987's typical departure, last 90 days19
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farTokyo departures board−1
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly22% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈157 to 25
Made up in the air−6
Lands≈10
weather at NahaJapan Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 08:30Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
20on time
37late
3very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
JL987 Tokyo to Naha left within 15 minutes of schedule on 20 of its last 60 flights, usually 20 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 40. It wasn't cancelled once.